Odds are in Norwich City's favour ahead of battle for Premier League survival

Jonny Howson's strike sealed a 4-0 home win over West Brom in May 2013 as Norwich City secured Premier League survival Picture: Paul Chesterton/Focus Images

Jonny Howson's strike sealed a 4-0 home win over West Brom in May 2013 as Norwich City secured Premier League survival Picture: Paul Chesterton/Focus Images

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As prospects of Premier League survival return to the thoughts of Norwich City fans, David Freezer takes a look at how promoted teams have fared in recent years.

The current season isn't over yet but thoughts are already turning to whether Norwich City can secure survival in the Premier League.

Daniel Farke's promotion winners head to Aston Villa knowing a point would definitely secure the Championship trophy, although anything less than a win for Sheffield United at Stoke and City will be champions regardless of the result at Villa Park.

It's worth the Canaries giving it one last push to end the campaign on a high though, as eight of the past 10 title winners have gone on to retain their top-flight status.

Even better than that, the last five teams to lift the trophy – Wolves, Newcastle, Burnley, Bournemouth and Leicester – have all kicked on and become established Premier League clubs.

Big-spending Wolves won the Championship title last season and will finish in the top half of the Premier League Picture: Nick Potts/PABig-spending Wolves won the Championship title last season and will finish in the top half of the Premier League Picture: Nick Potts/PA

On the other hand, six of the last 10 play-off final winners have gone straight back down.

That includes the Canaries, who have seen both sides of the coin in the past decade, going up as runners-up in 2011 and enjoying two reasonably comfortable mid-table finishes before going down in 2014, as well as following play-off success in 2015 with immediate relegation the following season.

Fulham were last season's play-off final winners and have already dropped through the trap door, with Cardiff almost certain to join them, sitting four points adrift and with a trip to Manchester United on the final day awaiting.

While Canaries fans will study the mistakes made at those clubs at this summer, there is little comparison that can be made with big-spending Wolves, who are on course for seventh place and have billionaire owners with Champions League ambitions.

Fulham came up through the play-offs but have been relegated from the Premier League after one season Picture: Nigel French/PAFulham came up through the play-offs but have been relegated from the Premier League after one season Picture: Nigel French/PA

Assuming that Cardiff will go down, that will mean 11 of the 30 teams promoted teams in the past 10 seasons have gone straight back down to the Championship – leaving a decent 63 percent survival rate.

In fact, only two of those 30 teams have finished bottom during their first year back in the big time: QPR in 2015 and Cardiff in 2014.

Or of course you can just do what Leicester did from 2014 onwards: win the Championship title, finish 14th in the top flight, lift the Premier League trophy in your second season and narrowly miss out on a Champions League semi-final because of an away goals defeat to Atletico Madrid in season three. Easy.

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In the past decade all three new teams haven't gone straight back down together and only twice have the promoted trio all survived: Newcastle, Brighton and Huddersfield last season and QPR, Norwich and Swansea in 2012.

And despite the remarkable story of the current City squad securing promotion against the background of deep financial cuts, the club is now heading for its fifth Premier League season in nine.

It will be the 26th top-flight season in the Canaries' history, with the first being in 1972-73, sparking a lofty status of just three campaigns outside the top tier in 23 seasons – through to relegation in 1995.

Wolves will become just the third promoted team in the past 10 seasons to finish in the top half, currently on course for seventh place, after Birmingham finished ninth in 2011 and Newcastle 10th last season.

While ambitions of joining that exclusive club are far from a priority at this juncture of City's history, the past decade proves that promoted clubs hanging on to their elite status among the big boys is perfectly possible, if they can maintain momentum.

RECENT PL SEASONS

• 2018-19

Wolves – 7th?

Cardiff – 18th? REL

Fulham – 19th? REL

• 2017-18

Newcastle – 10th

Brighton – 15th

Huddersfield – 16th

• 2016-17

Burnley – 16th

Middlesbrough – 19th REL

Hull – 18th REL

• 2015-16

Bournemouth – 16th

Watford – 13th

NORWICH – 19th REL

• 2014-15

Leicester – 14th

Burnley – 19th REL

QPR – 20th REL

• 2013-14

Cardiff – 20th REL

Hull – 16th

C Palace – 11th

• 2012-13

Reading – 19th REL

Southampton – 14th

West Ham – 10th

• 2011-12

QPR – 17th

NORWICH – 12th

Swansea – 11th

• 2010-11

Newcastle – 12th

West Brom – 11th

Blackpool – 19th REL

• 2009-10

Wolves – 16th

Birmingham – 9th

Burnley – 18th REL

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