Would Norwich City be on more points without VAR?
PUBLISHED: 12:40 10 January 2020 | UPDATED: 12:40 10 January 2020
A table removing the effects of VAR has been commissioned by ESPN, with the results showing Norwich City would be sitting six points and two places better off in the Premier League without the technology.
A team led by Dr. Thomas Curran at the London School of Economics have compiled the 'Anti-VAR Index', which shows how the league would look if VAR decisions were removed from games.
However, instead of merely removing the overturned decisions, this table adopts an algorithm that takes into account factors such as who was dominating proceedings at the point of technological intervention as well as form, performance and relative strength. It then compiles a set of results based on probability of outcome.
The findings show Daniel Farke's men to be worst affected team and places them on 20 points without the technology being used, that's six points higher than their current total of 14.
Those additional six points would alter the current outlook drastically, seeing the Canaries transform from being seven points adrift from safety to being level on points with Southampton in 18th.
City have seen several decisions go against them in recent weeks, including Teemu Pukki's disallowed goal against Tottenham Hotspur on December 28, which would have seen the Canaries double their advantage in the fixture. In the last Premier League outing against Crystal Palace, Connor Wickham's late equaliser was correctly overturned by the technology to prevent City recording their first win since November.
City midfielder Todd Cantwell admitted that was also the reason for his muted celebration after scoring in the early stages of the 1-1 midweek draw against Crystal Palace.
"It's a strange feeling, we get told that you put the ball away if you can, regardless of whether the linesman has got his flag up or not," Cantwell said.
"I put it in and there was an uncertainty because I hadn't had a chance to look across the line, so I didn't really know, I knew it came off the defender so I thought if they did check it, it should be okay - but you never really know what's been seen from the bird's eye view."
The Premier League aren't expected to make drastic changes to the processes of VAR until the end of the season, with the integrity of the competition thought to be a decisive factor in their thinking.